Looking at the actual Ontario results, 330Canada underestimated the NDP
and overestimated the PCs. The NDP results were on the very upper edge of
what it said was possible and much greater than what it said was likely,
and the PC results on the lower edge. Liberals and Greens were spot-on.
The results are also a strong argument for proportional representation, or
at least ranked voting.
Alayne
On Thu, 27 Feb 2025, Eric Marceau via linux wrote:
If you want to vote strategically, so as to prevent any given party from getting the expected majority in a given riding, the following site
* https://338canada.com/ontario/districts.htm
is excellent for
* giving visibility by reporting consolidated polling results,
* charting those over time, and
* making projections on likelihood of any particular outcome.
If your own party is falling behind, and not likely to win, but another party is doing better and could work to unseat a party you would prefer to not
win, then the results show which party could work to your advantage in the pursuit of that objective.
The site reports on their accuracy for previous predictions:
* https://338canada.com/record.htm
The site provides details for every region of Canada, both Federal and Provincial, and list a number of current and recent electoral races:
* https://338canada.com/
Enjoy!
--
Alayne McGregor
alayne at twobikes.ottawa.on.ca
Aiming for the moon and getting halfway there, gets you farther than if you just aim for the roof and only get halfway upstairs. People's achievements in life depend quite startlingly much on what they _expect_ to achieve. -- Diana Wynne Jones, in _Reflections_